Friday, July 30, 2010

Belmont 31st July

Looks an interesting meeting today. Rail is True.

Race 1: Some interesting form angles to line up here. All the main chances are coming from different races. Lexdane is honest, well drawn and has Pike on top. Metro Master went super 1st up last week. Will probably have the same run, sitting outside leader from its awkward draw. Deejar impressed me when having its first race and Lauradane reeled off some good sectionals at its first start when very green. Wth natural improvement, barrier 1 and O'Donnell on board it should get every chance.

Tips 12 - 6 - 4 -1 - 2

Race 2: The Entourage and Terada line up again and there was nothing between them last start. With Danterina scr I think this ensures The Entorage will lead at its preferred tempo. Terada has drawn perfectly again and will be hitting the line hard. Antique Rose will appreciate the drop back in trip but I'm questioning its win 2 starts back.Xaaravid is always there abouts.

Tips 2 -3 -1 - 6 -12

2 THE ENTOURAGE $3.60
3 TERADA $4.10
6 ANTIQUE ROSE $7.10
4 REIMBURSEMENT $13.80
1 XAARAVID$17.20


Race 3: This looks a compact event. Was really disappointed with Bike AAromba last week. Missing the jump was crucil. Hide the Loot is as honest as they come and will be runing home late. Foxy Boy went better and Delta Gee is a good mare.

Tips 2 -5 -3 -7

5 BIKE AAROMBA $3.30
2 HIDE THE LOOT $3.80
3 FOXY BOY $8.70
7 DELTA GEE $8.70

Race 4: Full Moon has come back really well and will be steaming home. Galoubay was a forget me run last start. Chance In Time backs up again but I was a shade disappointing for mine, especially as I tipped it. From its wide draw, Yuill will drop it out the back and this will suit. A Quiet Shandy is going okay and Aquinas hasn't been disgraced at both runs back. Sunrange should get a good run behind Enflamer who usually goes hard in front.

Tips 2 - 5 - 1 - 4 -7

2 FULL MOON $3.80
7 GALOUBAY $6.60
5 CHANCE IN TIME $7.00
9 A QUIET SHANDY $9.30
1 SUNRANGE $10.70


Race 5: An interesting race. The safe way to go I think is Campobello who has been racing in stronger class. Happy to risk Once A Week but not Offer Me Jewels. Found and Kept was another one I tipped last week who went average but if he can run the trip, he may prove hard to hold out. Best guide was an 1800m run behind Truckin Tobie when he hit the line okay. Jeverrewent uper last start and if the track is cut up, is a chance.

Tips 11 - 2 -9 -3 -12 -6

Race 6: A tough race. Naku Penda returned to form when it had every chance along the rails last start. Mega Mak was a shade diappoinitng for mine but will be hitting the line hard. Akheson is flying and will be on the speed. Steve's Pick went woeful but is drawn well and best to forget the run. Zedream is flying in Kal and Old Blightly trialled nicely and looks like it will race handy. The one I do like is Where There's Smoke. Barrier 1 should give it the run of the race and it boxed on really well after sitting wide 1st up. Secret Engima is a chance but not a horse I can catch.

Tips 10 - 11 - 3 -5 -1 -2

10 WHERE THERES SMOKE $4.20
3 MEGA MAK $7.50
1 NAKU PENDA $8.70
2 SECRET ENIGMA $8.90
5 AKHESON $12.40
6 SPECCIO $14.00
8 ZEDREAM $17.50

Race 7: One thing I'll get right in this is that it will be run at speed. Black George had a great prep last time in but this is possibly the best field it has met. Heart Ache is a nice horse but he 1000m is a tad short for mine. Xaar Boom is well in and will appreciate the speed. Underline surprised last time and can repeat. Not confident I must say. Go wide in the quaddie.

Tips 4 -12 - 6 -15 -14- 1

9 HEART ACHE $7.10
14 MEGEM'S BOY $7.70
4 BLACK GEORGE $8.30
1 CENTRUM $8.90
10 AIN'T NO SAINT $11.70
12 XAAR BOOM$12.00

13 GOLD ROCKS $17.00
11 VERSARC $18.60
6 UNDERLINE $22.50


Race 8: As usual, a tough race to finish. Grey Monarch is in form and drawn well. General Albert has dropped off a shade since winning at odds. Baskerville Street won well last time and is the likely favourite. Ten Aces ran better and I thought All Class resumed with a good effort. Chances also to Prince Couvoisier, Catcorp and Simplyirresitable. Perhaps the best EW bet is Kenbon. Hits the line okay, has no weight and races well 2nd up. The issue with the race is the lack of speed.

Tips 13 - 5 - 1 - 7 - 2 - 11

5 BASKERVILLE STREET $4.50
7 TEN ACES $6.90
13 KENBON $7.70
1 GREY MONARCH $8.90
11 CATCORP $9.10
9 PRINCE COURVOISIER $20.00
14 SIMPLYIRRESISTIBLE $32.90


Good punting.

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